Wednesday, May 19, 2010

The decline of the Democrats has been highly exaggerated - Updated

So the tea partiers are purging the GOP of anything resembling a reasonable Republican and installing the most extreme of the panderers to their tantrums in primaries. I suppose that could honestly be called an anti-incumbent backlash. There's no question the TPs have taken over the Republican party. But these candidates are going to have to run in the general. The barometer of how that will work for them is in the special elections. So how have GOPers been doing in those special elections?

Well in PA, the Democrat easily trounced the Republican. Despite all the polling that showed a close race, Critz won with a vote of 53-45 percent in a district that went for McCain in 08. Granted Critz ran as an hardcore pro-gun, anti-choice conservative coming out against the health care reform bill (but not for repealing it), however, given the choice between a nearly identical platform from the GOPer, they went with the Dem.

Also useful to remember that "there have been seven special elections for U.S. House seats since the president's inauguration 16 months ago: NY20, IL5, CA32, CA10, NY23, FL19, and PA12. Democrats have won all seven." Probably too soon to be writing the Democratic Party's obit.

Update: I'm not going to say much more about this since it will be well covered, but these two posts are worth reading. This was not a referendum on Obama and a surprisingly good analysis from Politico, noticing the Republicans aren't doing that well really. Relying solely on trashing Reid, Pelosi and Obama isn't going to work.

[More posts daily at The Detroit News]


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Blogger Ruth said...

Funny how that polling the media quotes keeps showing how bad things are for the Dems. Too bad that the voters keep proving the polls were wrong. Some folks would eventually suspect those polls were working with right wing intent.

11:54:00 AM  
Blogger Libby Spencer said...

Or at the very least you would think at least a few more people would realize that polling has become virtually useless. Too many pollsters, taking too many polls, way too often.

11:56:00 AM  

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