Tuesday, February 22, 2011

One term Senator Brown

I believe this is called biting the hand that fed you Sen. Brown:
"You're talking about being an ideologue? If you're looking for one, I'm not it," said Sen. Scott Brown.

Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.) said he doesn't consider himself a member of the Tea Party movement and would welcome any primary challenger.
Brown's election was an anomaly. He had a lame opponent who didn't campaign until the last moment and then did it badly. But even with Coakley's incompetence, Brown would never have won without the influx of Tea Party money from all over the country and his dogwhistles to the movement. He may not consider himself to be a Tea Partier, but he certainly played one on the campaign trail.

He knows this and surely he realizes that it's not a trick that can be duplicated. I don't see how he can pull off another win in Massachusetts. The rush of undefined anger that allowed him to tap into the Tea Party mania of the day has been distilled over time into a purity test that he will surely fail. He will likely see an extreme TP challenger, who may well win a primary driven by the pocket of cranky Yankee GOPers there. But an extremist con won't win in the general election. Not in Massachusetts. Thinking by the time election day rolls around again, the recklessness of the current crop of GOPers, and the damage they will create, will scare the Indys back to the left.

But Brown will be all right. I'm willing to predict a TV punditry gig in his future.

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1 Comments:

Blogger TDC said...

Libby Spencer wrote in part "Thinking by the time election day rolls around again, the recklessness of the current crop of GOPers, and the damage they will create, will scare the Indys back to the left. "

Really?

"Gallup's analysis of party affiliation in the U.S. states shows a marked decline in the number of solidly Democratic states from 2008 (30) to 2010 (14). The number of politically competitive states increased over the same period, from 10 to 18, with more limited growth in the number of leaning or solidly Republican states."

http://www.gallup.com/poll/146234/Number-Solidly-Democratic-States-Cut-Half.aspx

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"As Wisconsin and numerous other states struggle to reduce untenable budget deficits, a new USA Today/Gallup poll finds that not one of three major fiscal strategies available to state lawmakers is very popular. The least objectionable to Americans is "reducing or eliminating certain state programs," with about equal numbers in favor as opposed. A slight majority, 53%, opposes reducing pay and benefits for state workers, and a larger majority, 71%, opposes raising state taxes."

http://www.gallup.com/poll/146276/Scaling-Back-State-Programs-Least-Three-Fiscal-Evils.aspx

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Yes, the election is a long time away, but the turmoil and trends right now are not in the 'dems favor.

The Wisconsin "debate" will likely be a major campaign issue in 2012. (imo)

8:36:00 PM  

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